Being an author is like being in charge of your own personal insane asylum.

- Graycie Harmon

Wednesday, September 30, 2009

The Future of Agents

Another article sent to me via The Writer's Digest. You can link directly to the article here.

The Future Role of Agents
September 29, 2009
by Jane Friedman
You know how things work today. But what can you expect from literary agents in years to come? Let us give you a glimpse into the future and explain how it will affect you, the writer.
Given the magnitude of change underway in publishing, some have questioned the future role and necessity of the literary agent. Will agents continue to be the middlemen between publishers and authors? Do authors still need agents if they can get discovered or published on their own? Will publishers rely on agents when they can uncover talent through websites like HarperCollins’

There are two sides to this discussion: the changing needs and roles of the author versus the changing needs and roles of the publisher. Let’s start with the publisher.

Many in the industry believe publishers need to become less horizontal and more vertical (or specialized) in their approaches. Dominique Raccah of Sourcebooks has said that targeting niche categories is the only way publishers can survive. So has publishing futurist Mike Shatzkin.

I work for a special-interest nonfiction publisher (F+W Media, parent company of WD) that’s been vertical in its approach all along. We serve niche audiences, know our markets better than most agents, and find authors and create great-selling books without agents.

You may agree this makes sense for nonfiction publishing, but what about fiction? Who will separate the wheat from the chaff?

First, keep in mind it’s the mainstream New York houses that accept only agented submissions. If you take a look at some of the genre fiction publishers (those that specialize), as well as presses focusing on more literary work, many—including Harlequin, Algonquin, DAW and Tor/Forge—accept unagented submissions.

Second, it is mandatory for publishers’ survival that they develop online communities, digital content and consumer-facing programs (rather than retailer-focused programs). Former Soft Skull Editorial Director Richard Nash suggested during a talk at this year’s BookExpo America that if he were starting a publishing house from scratch today, he’d propose a community-based system that brings readers and writers together in a virtual roundtable to edit, publish and discuss content. Such models acknowledge the disintermediation we’re witnessing in the culture at large, where the middlemen are disappearing. Fiction publishing is not exempt from disintermediation, and publishers of every category need to cozy up to the particular community of readers and writers supporting them.

So I believe the future of agents will be determined more by the needs and the future of authors. What does that future look like? This is where things become less clear, but here are three critical issues.


Right now everyone’s confused—authors, agents, publishers. Authors need agents who can make sense of what’s happening, be proactive in negotiating and renegotiating contracts to take advantage of new opportunities, and navigate the increasingly complex ways content can be sold, licensed and repackaged. Agents need to be able to do this in a way that will fairly compensate authors (so they can continue to produce great material), but also ensure publishers can sustain their business models, too.

Both Shatzkin and Nash have suggested that contracts between authors and publishers need to be revolutionized—that today’s boilerplate contract is inflexible and outdated. One idea put forth by Nash is that contracts become time-based, with potential for renewal, which dodges the sticky “in print” or “out of print” question that now determines the termination of most book contracts.

Whatever happens, agents need to innovate as much as the publishers in developing a model that works, and avoid contract restrictions that make it difficult to partner and grow as the industry changes.


It’s essential for writers to know how to use new technologies and online tools to help build and reach their readership, to create visibility and a brand around their content, and to be associated with a message or story greater than just one book or product.

For anyone in this publishing game for the long run, it can’t be about the sale of one book—and this is where sometimes I see a lack of vision across the board. People get so focused on selling a title or in how that title is (or isn’t) supported by a publisher, that they lose sight of the much larger goal of an author’s career.

Would the architecture of an author’s career be better nurtured by the agent or by the publisher, or by someone else still?

To draw on Raccah’s wisdom, she has said publishers aren’t in the business of producing books, but in the business of building authors’ careers—and connecting writers to readers. I agree that the successful publishers of the future (whether specialized or not) will be those that offer something of tangible benefit to an author—not the ones that continue business as usual. Enterprising authors already have many viable options to publish successfully without a traditional publisher’s assistance or expertise—and opportunities will only continue to proliferate.

Perhaps, in the best of all worlds for writers, vertical publishers can offer amazing networking, distribution and business partnerships that neither authors nor agents can develop on their own (e.g., how Chronicle is master of the gift market, or how Harlequin has a mission to reach women wherever they are). But it will be the agents who can meaningfully partner and advise on authors’ long-term career growth. It is, after all, the authors’ responsibility to develop an online presence (isn’t that much too important to be handled by a publisher?), and authors need agents savvy enough to help them shape that image apart from a publisher’s business interests.


There’s a final dilemma. Publishers are now paying lower advances, releasing fewer titles and selling digital content at lower prices than print content (which in turn affects royalty payments to both agent and author). Assuming this is the new reality, there will be less money to go around for the number of agents now in business. Plus, will it be worth an agent’s time and energy to sell a project that doesn’t pay more than $1,500 upfront? Probably not.

One agency has quietly come out with a new model that requires authors to pay a minimum commission—i.e., the agent must earn a minimum amount on a sale no matter what advance the publisher pays, which means authors would “share” a larger part of the advance upfront (or even pay out of pocket in the case of very low advances).

Undoubtedly, there’s no shortage of aspiring writers who would be ecstatic to pay more to an agent if it meant securing a publishing deal. But such a model is sure to raise ethical concerns. Agents may take projects knowing they will ultimately be paid by authors rather than by publishers. Is the industry (that includes the author!) ready to accept such a shift in how agents profit?

In the end, agents will need to do much more than make sales to publishers to remain viable. The best agents have always been career managers who know what kind of clients they should take on—and who say no to people who don’t fit their strengths or values. Notable voices such as Seth Godin and Shatzkin have said that agents, like publishers, will have to survive by specializing, by being distinctive in some way.

I find that fitting—because isn’t that what agents have advised authors all along? Be unique. Be distinct. Have something special to offer.

It turns out no one is exempt from that prescription.


whqttt said...

As a writer, surely all you actually want is your agent to make a sale for you?

Isn't that sufficient? What more can they bring to the selling-your-book-party?

The three parts of the article are basically
1) make more sales
2) make more sales
3) get more money from the writer.

It's entirely irrelevant whether your agent knows what google is or not; their business is dead trees.

Yes, there are those vile bloggers like Perez who somehow manage to make money, but I do not know of one book author who does so. Even those with fairly broad online content can't make money that way. 1000 pages of novel cannot be translated into other forms easily.
Sure, there are audio books, but they do not make a lot of money, and there are film/TV rights, but if you end up in that sector, you are in the very rare group of the truly successful.

And Richard Nash's comment is bizarre - has he not seen the editorial nightmare of Wiki?

2) is complete nonsense. Book publishers have very little interest in building careers, they are in business to make money, and they do this by printing books.
Prove yourself successful by writing pap, but commercially viable pap and they'll print more of your books. Don't sell, even though your book is an absolute treasure? It'll be gone, as will your career.

Publishers do not care about careers, and thinking so is very naive.

3) "One agency has quietly come out with a new model that requires authors to pay a minimum commission—i.e., the agent must earn a minimum amount on a sale no matter what advance the publisher pays, which means authors would “share” a larger part of the advance upfront (or even pay out of pocket in the case of very low advances).

Good lord, Sonia, that's the definition of vanity publishing. Any author who pays to get an agent or get published is being conned.

The entire article is just a puff-piece designed to massage the article of pseuds.

Disappointing. Post more of your own original material, please.

S. M. Carrière said...

I will try, but it's going to be a slow news couple of months!

If only my interviewee would send back his answers....

Anonymous said...

Good questions! I am from Página da Cultura Literary Agency in Brazil, São Paulo

Fran said...

Authonomy?? Oh, my...

whqttt said...

I've suggested it before. Offer a bribe/reward. People can move mountains if motivated by the promise of reasonable quantities of decent quality chocolate.

S. M. Carrière said...

Whqtt, I am prone to agree with you there! I'd do an awful lot for chocolate. Mmmm.... chocolate.
Hi Fran! I'm not quite sure about your reference (perhaps it's the decided lack of coffee this morning), so I tried looking it up and stumbled across this webpage:
And it looks pretty awesome. So though I am no wiser, I must thank you!
Hello Anonymous! Thank-you for your post. I had no idea that anyone from Brazil would be reading! I hope you'll stick around and give an agent's rebuttal of the above article that Whqtt was so disappointed with! It certainly would create a brilliant discussion!

Thanks all for posting (even if it was criticism). I'm off for some coffee and chocolate!

Jane Friedman said...

For those who doubt the agent model will change (or that this is the direction of book publishing), I recommend reading the Idealog blog, particularly these posts:

S. M. Carrière said...

Hi Jane!

Thanks so much for posting! I also recommend that people research more on the subject, not just to try and prove something, but to expand your knowledge base of the industry. This is particularly true for aspiring authors (nice alliteration, yes?).

Thanks again Jane, I do appreciate this.